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Int J Epidemiol Res. 2022;9(2): 69-74.
doi: 10.34172/ijer.2022.12
  Abstract View: 334
  PDF Download: 259

Original Article

Changing Pattern of Mortality in First and Second COVID-19 Waves: A Comparative Study From Kerala, India

Manu Mathews 1 ORCID logo, Ramesan K 1 ORCID logo, Harikrishnan Mohan 1 ORCID logo, Simi Kurian 2* ORCID logo, Farha Ahmed Payyanil Karlath 1 ORCID logo, Binoo Divakaran 3 ORCID logo, Balakrishnan Valliot 1 ORCID logo, Sudeep K 1 ORCID logo

1 Department of Medicine, Government Medical College, Kannur, Kerala, India
2 Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Government Medical College, Kannur, Kerala, India
3 Department of Community Medicine, Government Medical College, Kannur, Kerala, India
*Corresponding Author: Corresponding Author: Simi Kurian, Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Government Medical College, Kannur,Kerala, PIN 670503. Tel: 0091-08156991384; Email: , Email: drsimikurian@gmail.com

Abstract

Background and aims: India has seen a two-wave pattern of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) infections. The comparative characteristics of these two waves remain largely unknown. Changing trends in the demographic and clinical characteristics of the deceased COVID-19 patients in these two waves helped to identify the vulnerable population and guide public health interventions to decrease mortality.

Methods: We obtained COVID-19 death summaries from the medical records of a large tertiary healthcare centre in North Kerala, India. Two groups of COVID-19 deaths were selected: the first group included patients who died in the first wave between 1 July 2020 and 31 December 2020 (n=311), and the second group included those who died in the second wave between 1 March 2021 and 30 June 2021 (n=431).

Results: The mortality in the second wave in young patients (≤50 years) was 2.2% higher (11.8% vs. 9.6%, P=0.346) and that in elderly patients (≥80 years) was 7.7% higher (19.95% vs. 12.2%, P=0.005) compared to the first wave. The average duration from symptom onset to death also significantly decreased in the second wave. Further, there was an increased proportion of COVID-19-related deaths in patients with diabetes in the second wave (59.3% vs. 51.7%, P=0.025). The main cause of death was respiratory failure due to COVID-19 pneumonia in both waves.

Conclusion: The second COVID-19 wave was different from the first wave with more deaths in the young and elderly, a shorter duration from symptom onset to death, and an increase in the proportion of deaths with diabetes, maternal deaths, and deaths in those without any pre-existing comorbidities.

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Submitted: 22 Oct 2021
Accepted: 06 Feb 2022
ePublished: 01 Jun 2022
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